U.S. spy aircrafts are constantly flying over Venezuela as the prelude of a military invasion that may unleash. This is not a strong possibility just yet as everything depends on the number of casualties foreseen by the invading forces, caused essentially by the local army defending its homeland soil. Simultaneously, local opposition —already weakened— is crying out for an open U.S. marines’ invasion, sheltered by the TIAR (Inter-American Treaty of Reciprocal Assistance), which has no legal or moral reasons to be invoked.
The TIAR was created in 1947 in times of the Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union. The Empire tried to use it as a mean to destroy the Cuban Revolution. But such goal was never achieved, especially after the Bay of Pigs fiasco in 1961.
Nonetheless, it remained in full force as one of the Empire resources to be invoked against any rebel nation in the continent under the guise of military assistance in case of foreign aggression; but Argentina invoked TIAR in 1982 to defend its country from British colonialists who were occupying the Malvinas. But the U.S., supported by Pinochet’s Chile back then, did not help Buenos Aires and served its European ally.
Hence, Peru, Bolivia, Cuba, Ecuador, Mexico, and Venezuela left TIAR one by one.
In the collusion against Venezuela, the OAS (Organization of American States) served as the official headquarters for the reemergence of TIAR, backed by 12 member states that echoed the U.S. and Colombia’s assertion on the alleged exodus of four million Venezuelans, but concealing that the UN High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) had just confirmed that in 2018 the number of refugees increased in 341,800, including Venezuelans.
We should add the likely staging of an incident to justify a military intervention. In this regard, two members of the Colombian paramilitary group Los Rastrojos were arrested. This group has contacted Juan Guaido, fabricated president supported by Trump.
Besides, there have been recent developments in various threatening fronts. On one hand, there is a marked aggression against Venezuelans’ living standards by means of blockade and international sanctions. On the other hand, chances to find peaceful solutions to the conflict are hindered while every initiative intended to favor dialogue between the government and the political opposition is attacked by the media.
The Bolivarian Government is under a ferocious attack by an international media campaign of propaganda — kicked off in December 2018—, which is followed to the letter by all allied nations to the U.S. aiming at preparing destabilization operations against Venezuela, and recalls the connivance of the so-called objective-committed press covering the aggressions on Afghanistan and Iraq.
The target of such campaign was to convince Venezuelans of a hopeless future for them in their homeland. At the same time, it tried to convince the public opinion of the “illegitimacy” of President Nicolas Maduro.
The news article released by Russian media Sputnik entitled “El momento ha llegado: el plan Unitas Lis sería el golpe final contra Venezuela,” details the political and military conditions that the U.S. has foreseen as “the road map to topple Chavism.” All are operational. And TIAR is part of what they have called “the political front.”
The American political and military strategists know that, in January 2020, Guaido’s time in Venezuela’s National Assembly expires, although other opposition leaders will try to follow his steps.
Therefore, Venezuelans must expect a severe escalation of the U.S. pressure against them to the point of violence. In this context, the Chairman of the National Constituent Assembly, Diosado Cabello, predicts the invasion of U.S. marines in Venezuela, “but the problem lies —for them— on how are they going to leave.”
Translated by Sergio A. Paneque Diaz/CubaSi Translation Staff